Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 3.022793 3.599314 4.225291 4.951780 5.767951 6.652854 7.681019
2026-01-04 2.390521 3.191266 4.132192 5.304082 6.708593 8.322041 10.299089
2026-01-11 1.916338 2.851683 4.033910 5.600756 7.583944 9.971768 13.022621
2026-01-18 1.476169 2.455099 3.785560 5.656426 8.145951 11.271139 15.410928
2026-01-25 1.086198 2.034823 3.424991 5.498305 8.392812 12.170212 17.340694
2026-02-01 0.807849 1.708961 3.131689 5.375238 8.648035 13.069349 19.296500
2026-02-08 0.602275 1.444548 2.877230 5.260536 8.881873 13.929584 21.221476
2026-02-15 0.457271 1.244877 2.685501 5.205062 9.177963 14.871880 23.281347
2026-02-22 0.386923 1.169822 2.687745 5.447472 9.922571 16.469807 26.297209
2026-03-01 0.302546 1.037647 2.562991 5.460144 10.305164 17.553657 28.623518
2026-03-08 0.208235 0.844570 2.284516 5.170294 10.177408 17.867123 29.848121
2026-03-15 0.145282 0.701671 2.073848 4.967907 10.163415 18.334122 31.294202
2026-03-22 0.124685 0.676284 2.113414 5.241450 10.973590 20.116268 34.771272
2026-03-29 0.112237 0.672826 2.201986 5.617064 11.979527 22.242181 38.829694
2026-04-05 0.098008 0.656612 2.257684 5.931721 12.895391 24.258603 42.781956
2026-04-12 0.075628 0.595409 2.191828 5.992886 13.364942 25.580233 45.716372
2026-04-19 0.051219 0.504320 2.028022 5.829540 13.415800 26.223704 47.624529
2026-04-26 0.034341 0.430493 1.890404 5.702001 13.517132 26.944667 49.663914
2026-05-03 0.022404 0.367426 1.765056 5.582723 13.619235 27.661200 51.704844
2026-05-10 0.014750 0.319731 1.672434 5.525089 13.831021 28.563397 54.056910
2026-05-17 0.012226 0.311982 1.709273 5.778733 14.662791 30.544379 58.177108
2026-05-24 0.008194 0.279141 1.650670 5.792114 15.016242 31.711379 61.010718
2026-05-31 0.003794 0.220443 1.475794 5.489159 14.709067 31.715059 61.951057